Citizens JMP Downgrades Core Scientific to Market Perform Following CoreWeave Merger Announcement
Published: July 14, 2025

Core Scientific, Inc. (NASDAQ: CORZ), once a standout in the bitcoin mining sector, is now at the center of a major Wall Street recalibration following the announcement of its all-stock merger with CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ: CRWV). In July 2025, analysts at both Citizens JMP and Needham downgraded Core Scientific’s rating from “Outperform” and “Buy” to more cautious “Market Perform” and “Hold” stances. This strategic shift reflects deepening concerns over the structure and implications of the CoreWeave deal, echoing broader market sentiments around the evolving landscape for digital asset companies seeking to pivot into high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure.
Analyst Downgrades Reflect Market Skepticism
The immediate fallout from the CoreWeave merger announcement was a swift and significant decline in Core Scientific shares, which plunged 22% following the news. The market’s negative response can be attributed to several factors:
- All-stock deal structure: The transaction, expected to close in Q4 2025, provides no immediate cash premium to Core Scientific shareholders, limiting short-term upside and dampening arbitrage opportunities for investors.
- Lower-than-expected valuation: Market participants were anticipating a higher price, but restrictive terms and CoreWeave’s own financing constraints curtailed the possibility of competitive bids or a better offer.
- Unlikely rival bids: Both Citizens JMP and Needham analysts believe there is a low probability of a third-party swoop, further reducing investor excitement.
According to John Todaro of Needham, while Core Scientific remains a leading bitcoin miner, the deal’s lack of cash and capped arbitrage restricts further share appreciation. Citizens JMP echoed this outlook, citing “limited upside potential due to the all-stock merger with CoreWeave.”
Pivotal Shift to High-Performance Computing (HPC)
The rationale behind Core Scientific’s merger is rooted in the global arms race for high-performance computing capacity, driven by the meteoric rise in demand for AI model training, cloud services, and data analytics. Bitcoin miners, with their vast real estate, power procurement expertise, and existing data center infrastructure, are uniquely positioned to transition their fleets toward more lucrative HPC applications.
Core Scientific was among the first miners to aggressively pursue this strategy. In 2024, the company signed a multi-year, 385-megawatt agreement with CoreWeave to provide HPC co-location services, representing over $500 million in annualized revenue potential. By year-end 2025, Core Scientific projects to have 271 megawatts operational, expanding to 383 megawatts by late 2026—making it a pioneer in bringing large-scale HPC capacity online among its peer group.
The company’s site portfolio is optimized for HPC deployments, situated near major metro hubs with pre-existing fiber connections and efficient power grids. This infrastructure advantage reduces the capital outlays required to retrofit traditional mining data centers for HPC, which is vital as the industry faces power and rack-space constraints in the race to meet AI-sector demand.
Market Trends, Competitive Context, and Strategic Implications
The CoreWeave-Core Scientific merger highlights an accelerating convergence between crypto infrastructure and mainstream cloud and AI computing. In 2024 and 2025, the biggest growth stories in data infrastructure have come from companies like NVIDIA, which reported a record $26 billion revenue in Q2 2025 fueled by AI chip demand. Similarly, data center operators—including Equinix, Digital Realty, and Vertiv—saw double-digit growth as hyperscale cloud and AI clients sought to secure ever more compute power.
The strategic pivot by miners like Core Scientific comes amid broader cryptocurrency market volatility. Bitcoin’s price remained in a $55,000–$70,000 band throughout 2024 and 2025, while mining margins faced compression due to the April 2024 halving event that reduced per-block rewards. Many miners explored partnerships or sales to cloud operators, with companies like Hut 8 and Marathon Digital also announcing ventures into AI hosting or exploring M&A activity.
For CoreWeave, a leading AI cloud provider valued at over $7 billion, the acquisition is expected to immediately expand its U.S. data center capacity, bolstering its footing against hyperscalers such as Microsoft Azure and Amazon Web Services in the lucrative AI inference and training space.
Investor Caution and Outlook
Though Core Scientific’s positioning as an early-mover in the HPC market is a key competitive strength, Wall Street remains cautious. The lack of a cash premium, the already priced-in benefits of the CoreWeave deal, and limited visibility on post-deal integration have prompted prominent analysts to recommend a “wait and see” approach. As of mid-July 2025, both Citizens JMP and Needham see valuation at roughly 15x forward EV/EBITDA—at the upper end for remodeled bitcoin miners but modest compared to pure-play cloud infrastructure providers.
Still, if Core Scientific can deliver on its roadmap—bringing several hundred megawatts of high-demand compute capacity online, leveraging its strategic metro-oriented asset base, and securing further long-term agreements with AI and cloud incumbents—it could unlock significant future value. However, without a near-term catalyst, shares may remain rangebound until execution risk lessens and deal synergies become visible.
Conclusion
The CoreWeave merger marks a pivotal inflection point not just for Core Scientific, but for the entire bitcoin mining industry as it evolves to meet the needs of a rapidly changing global compute market. While near-term investor caution is warranted, the outcome of this transition will be closely watched by capital markets, technology leaders, and institutional investors alike.
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