OpenAI’s $100B Move: AMD’s Landmark AI Deal Heats Up Silicon Race Against Nvidia
By Aparajita Chatterjee | October 6, 2025
The global AI chip industry has been jolted by news of a landmark agreement between OpenAI and chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), sending shockwaves through the semiconductor world and propelling AMD’s stock to historic highs. The move comes as industry demand for high-performance computing solutions accelerates, fueled by explosive growth in artificial intelligence (AI) workloads and infrastructure investments worldwide.
OpenAI Bets Big on AMD in Race for AI Dominance
OpenAI announced a 6-gigawatt commitment with AMD to power its next-generation AI infrastructure, placing AMD’s next-gen Instinct MI450 GPUs at the heart of future large language models and machine learning operations. The deal stands out as one of the largest hardware contracts ever in the AI space, capable of changing the balance of power among chipmakers.
Notably, the first 1-gigawatt deployment of AMD’s cutting-edge silicon is set for the second half of 2026, with both companies projecting a phased rollout aligned with OpenAI’s ramping compute requirements. This follows OpenAI’s previously announced $100 billion, 10-gigawatt letter of intent with current AI chip leader Nvidia, intensifying the rivalry and foreshadowing multivendor AI hardware ecosystems.
Strategic Supplier Diversification — Altman’s Multi-Vendor Play
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is charting a clear course to avoid overreliance on a single chip supplier, opting instead to engage multiple partners including AMD, Nvidia, and Broadcom. “Basically, Sam Altman seems to be hedging,” said Daniel Newman, CEO of the Futurum Group, highlighting the scale and urgency of compute demands in the AI gold rush. “As long as compute capacity requirements are likely to keep growing, all these companies are poised for more upside.”
Diversification reduces supply chain risks and helps OpenAI maintain bargaining power, especially as demand for state-of-the-art GPUs greatly exceeds current global supply. These deals come as organizations from hyperscalers to government agencies race to build bespoke AI data centers, sparking what many analysts call a ‘chip arms race’.
AMD’s Watershed Moment: Financial and Market Impact
The OpenAI partnership brought immediate gains for AMD, sending its stock price soaring by 28% this week, hitting a record $209 and pushing past previous 52-week highs. Equity research houses rushed to upgrade AMD’s outlook: Roth Capital boosted its price target to $250, while Barclays offered the most bullish take yet, revising to $300—a nearly 50% upside from current prices.
Barclays analysts estimate the agreement could add up to $4.5 billion in quarterly revenue for AMD by 2026, with potential earnings-per-share growth of $1.30 per quarter. The warrant portion of the deal—granting OpenAI the right to purchase 160 million AMD shares at just one cent per share, contingent on milestone achievements—has drawn attention as a unique, performance-driven incentive aligning both companies’ fortunes.
AMD’s CFO Jean Hu forecasted “tens of billions of dollars” in incremental revenue over the contract’s lifespan, while CEO Dr. Lisa Su emphasized, “This partnership brings the best of AMD and OpenAI together to create a true win-win … enabling one of the world’s most ambitious buildouts, and advancing the AI ecosystem.”
AI Infrastructure: A $583B Market and Growing
The AI hardware and infrastructure market is projected to surge towards $583 billion by 2030, according to Boston Consulting Group, up from $150 billion in 2023. Data center operators, cloud hyperscalers, and research labs are all pouring investment into advanced silicon to support generative AI, robotics, and data analytics.
AMD’s Instinct MI450 GPUs are engineered to deliver high throughput for large-scale deep learning, now viewed as a critical asset in the hardware toolkit for training and inference of massive language models. This new partnership cements AMD’s position as a serious contender to Nvidia’s runaway GPU dominance—and signals a keener, competitive era for chip innovation.
Ripple Effects Across the Chip Supply Chain
The reverberations extended beyond AMD. Sanmina, a key AMD manufacturing partner that recently acquired AMD’s data center infrastructure business from ZT Systems, saw a stunning 29% gain in share price on the day of the announcement. As OpenAI’s hardware appetite grows, companies throughout the silicon supply chain—from memory module vendors to server fabricators—face the chance for lucrative growth.
“AMD expects to deploy the first gigawatt as soon as possible and is well-positioned to ensure that we supply everyone who is interested in MI450,” Dr. Su told analysts. The company’s aggressive roadmap aims to address the multiple emerging AI clusters around cloud, enterprise, and sovereign AI networks.
Analyst Perspectives and Industry Impact
Industry commentators have underscored the strategic significance of OpenAI’s supplier diversification. Suji DeSilva of Roth Capital commented, “This establishes AMD as a credible, go-to source for hyperscale AI hardware.”
With Nvidia’s H100 and upcoming Blackwell GPUs still leading in performance and adoption, AMD’s push into the data center AI space could disrupt the equilibrium, giving hyperscalers and innovators larger menu of choices. As hyperscale AI deployments scale, diversification is likely to remain a key procurement theme, not just for OpenAI but across the broader ecosystem including Google, Microsoft, and Amazon.
A Transformative Deal for the AI Decade
This deal confirms AMD’s emergence as a global force in AI silicon and cements OpenAI’s centrality in driving hardware innovation. In coming years, the two companies are positioned to help redefine the boundaries of what’s possible in AI, from supercharged data centers to the next wave of generative models and intelligent systems.
As OpenAI, AMD, and Nvidia jostle for position in what’s fast becoming a multi-trillion-dollar global AI race, suppliers, investors, and end users will be watching closely. With billions at stake and transformative technologies on the horizon, the future of AI infrastructure has never looked more dynamic—or more competitive.

